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Speaker of the House Mike Johnson, R-La., speaks to reporters arsenic helium walks backmost to his bureau arsenic the House of Representatives waits to ballot connected President Trump's "big beauteous bill" reconciliation bundle connected July 3, 2025.
Bill Clark | CQ-Roll Call, Inc. | Getty Images
A massive bundle of taxation cuts championed by President Trump and awaiting a last vote successful the House would beryllium a windfall for the wealthiest U.S. households. But the size of that fiscal payment depends mostly connected wherever high-income taxpayers live, according to a caller analysis by the Institute connected Taxation and Economic Policy.
The authorities would springiness the apical 1% of U.S. households an mean taxation chopped of astir $66,000, oregon astir 2.4% of their income, successful 2026, according to ITEP, a left-leaning deliberation tank. (These households person incomes of $917,000 oregon much per year, averaging astir $2.7 million, it said.)
Some households basal to get a overmuch bigger taxation benefit.
The wealthiest households successful 3 states — Wyoming, South Dakota and Texas — would spot their yearly taxation bills autumn by much than $100,000, ITEP found.
In Wyoming, the apical 1% would spot their taxes autumn most: by an mean of astir $133,000 (or 3% of income) successful 2026, it said. The mean income of the apical 1% successful the authorities is astir $4.5 million.
"The measure is astir advantageous to conservative-leaning states that person a batch of precise affluent radical surviving wrong their borders," said Carl Davis, ITEP's probe director.
These states besides don't levy idiosyncratic income taxes, helium said.
Wyoming and Texas "are classical examples of states with a batch of affluent radical and which taxation those affluent radical incredibly lightly," Davis said.
Why the affluent get a ample taxation cut
Senate Republicans passed the legislation, primitively called the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, connected Tuesday with the slimmest of margins. House Republicans are poised to walk the measure Thursday and nonstop it to the president for his signature.
The authorities offers much than $4 trillion of nett taxation cuts implicit a decade, with astir benefits accruing to higher-income households, analyses person found. It besides slashes the societal information net, cutting billions of dollars from programs similar Medicaid and nutrient stamps meant to assistance little earners.
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The centerpiece of the measure is an hold of 2017 taxation cuts enacted during President Trump's archetypal word successful office.
Overall, the authorities lowers income taxation rates, exempts a larger stock of affluent estates from taxation and offers taxation breaks to concern owners. These are among the halfway ways the GOP measure benefits high-income households, Davis said.
It besides caps the magnitude of authorities and section income taxes and spot taxes that households tin deduct from their taxable income each year, astatine $40,000.
That "SALT" policy doesn't negatively interaction affluent residents successful states similar Wyoming, South Dakota and Texas, wherever residents don't beryllium authorities income tax, Davis said. But it has a ample interaction connected states with precocious authorities and section income taxes and spot taxes.
In different words, high-income residents of Wyoming, South Dakota and Texas mostly get astir of the taxation upside and not overmuch downside, helium said.
Conversely, the highest earners successful California and New Jersey would spot a smaller taxation chopped successful 2026, averaging astir $34,000 and $21,000, respectively, ITEP found. That represents astir 1% of their income successful each state.
Separate analyses person recovered that the wealthiest households volition reap the largest fiscal benefits from the GOP bill.
The apical 20% of U.S. households (earning much than $217,000 a year) would get a taxation cut equivalent to 3.4% of their after-tax income successful 2026, according to the Tax Policy Center. Meanwhile, the bottommost 20% would get a 0.8% taxation cut.
Its investigation lone examined the taxation portions of the legislation.
Overall, much broad analyses that besides relationship for cuts to programs similar Medicaid and the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, the lowest earners would beryllium worse off, according to analyses by the Budget Lab astatine Yale University and the Congressional Budget Office, which modeled akin authorities passed by the House past month.