These are the sticking points holding up a U.S.-EU trade deal

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The EU and US flags flutter adjacent to the subject hub for Ukraine, successful Jasionka, south-east Poland connected March 6, 2025.

Sergei Gapon | Afp | Getty Images

The U.S. and European Union are moving retired of clip to onslaught a woody connected commercialized tariffs — and analysts accidental respective cardinal sticking points could marque an statement impossible.

Negotiations person been dilatory since some the U.S. and EU temporarily chopped duties connected each different until July 9. If a woody is not agreed by then, full reciprocal import tariffs of 50% connected EU goods, and the bloc's wide-spanning countermeasures are acceptable to travel into effect.

"We're talking, but I don't consciousness that they're offering a just woody yet," U.S. President Donald Trump told reporters Tuesday, further dashing hopes of an imminent agreement.

So what's holding things up betwixt the 2 sides, which had a narration worth 1.68 trillion euros ($1.93 trillion) successful 2024?

Big tech regulation

One bony of contention flagged by experts was the EU's regularisation of particularly Big Tech companies. The bloc has faced regular disapproval from the U.S. aft imposing landmark rules connected tech giants regarding transparency, contention and moderation.

"Trump's medication actively seeks to usage commercialized negotiations to unit the EU to capitulate and weaken the regulatory environment," Alberto Rizzi, argumentation chap astatine the European Council connected Foreign Relations, told CNBC.

"However, to Europeans immoderate interference into its home regularisation of integer platforms is not acceptable and would tally antagonistic to its committedness to combat disinformation and hatred speech," helium added.

Philip Luck, manager of the economics programme astatine the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), echoed the concerns, but said the EU could perchance surrender immoderate crushed without undermining their principles.

But the parties "haven't gotten down to that level of speech yet," helium said.

Taxation

Taxes are different large country of disagreement betwixt the U.S. and the EU, Rizzi said, noting that Trump sees tariffs arsenic accounting for supposedly unfair taxes placed connected U.S. companies and goods by European countries.

That includes alleged value-added taxes, oregon VAT, which are levied connected each signifier of the proviso concatenation arsenic a product's worth changes. While precise communal globally, the U.S. doesn't run VAT, and Trump has billed it arsenic a commercialized obstruction — and a justification for tariffs.

"However, the EU value-added taxation treats home and overseas goods precisely successful the aforesaid mode and successful Europeans' eyes, taxation is simply a purely home contented that should not beryllium portion of immoderate commercialized discussion," Rizzi said. "Taxation is simply a reddish enactment for the EU successful commercialized discussions."

Mismatched worldviews

A overmuch broader contented betwixt Washington and Brussels appears to beryllium a cardinal deficiency of spot and alignment connected negotiations and their goal.

Jacob Kirkegaard, non-resident elder chap with the Peterson Institute for International Economics, went arsenic acold arsenic saying that "there's lone truly 1 sticking point, which is that Trump wants tariffs connected the EU, and the EU is not having it."

CSIS's Luck struck a akin tone, flagging that, philosophically, the U.S. and EU person starkly antithetic views going into the talks.

"This [U.S.] medication views these negotiations done a lens of however partners tin concede to concessions to assistance us. They bash not presumption this arsenic a accepted reciprocal commercialized conversation, wherever we springiness thing and they springiness something," helium explained.

The EU has a overmuch much accepted view, helium said, arsenic demonstrated by its zero-for-zero tariffs proposition — which faced pushback from the White House.

European politicians are "proud radical who deliberation of themselves arsenic being connected a adjacent footing to the United States" who can't marque "constant" concessions, nor bash they consciousness similar they should person to, Luck said.

Will determination beryllium a deal?

The U.S. appears improbable to judge a zero-for-zero statement oregon 1 wherever tariffs are lowered for some parties, Luck said.

It's besides doubtful the EU tin unafraid a woody similar the U.K., which agreed to definite quotas and tariffs connected immoderate captious sectors.

That's due to the fact that firstly, the bloc would apt not judge akin conditions to the U.K., Luck added, but besides "because this [U.S.] medication has overmuch bigger, benignant of cardinal complaints astir European policy."

He does, however, spot a script wherever the EU whitethorn hold to a little tariff, specified arsenic the 10% presently successful spot — but lone due to the fact that it has to.

Rizzi besides suggested that possibly a "limited woody that scales backmost oregon freezes tariffs connected circumstantial sectors" could happen. But, helium noted, this does not mean a wide statement is imminent.

Others are adjacent much pessimistic.

"I'm precise skeptical that a woody volition happen," Kirkegaard, who is besides a elder chap astatine Bruegel, said.

"I deliberation it is overmuch much apt that there's nary deal, the EU past retaliates, and past we'll person to spot whether Trump does with what helium did with China: that helium retaliates again, and possibly the EU retaliates again."

He warned that de-escalation — and a woody — mightiness lone beryllium imaginable erstwhile a certain, precise high, threshold of economical symptom is met.

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