Gulf markets end higher, shielded from major turmoil after the U.S. strike on Iran

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This representation taken December 12, 2019 shows a presumption of the motion showing the logo of Saudi Arabia's Stock Exchange Market (Tadawul) bourse successful the superior Riyadh.

FAYEZ NURELDINE | AFP | Getty Images

Markets crossed the Middle East ended mostly higher connected Sunday aft the United States entered the war betwixt Israel and Iran and struck 3 cardinal Iranian atomic sites, Fordo, Natanz and Isfahan.  

Stocks successful Tel Aviv reached an all-time precocious connected Sunday connected bets that Washington's entranceway into the struggle with Tehran would assistance it to travel to an end, contempt the Iranian Foreign Minister's insistence that the state could not instrumentality to diplomacy "while nether attack."

The broader TA-125 scale was trading 1.77% higher connected Sunday, portion the TA-35, Tel Aviv's blue-chip index, was up 1.5%. Equities climbed successful Israel past week aft the state deed targets successful Iran.

In the Gulf, Saudi Arabia's Tadawul opened Sunday trading astir fractional a percent higher earlier erasing earlier gains and closing down 0.3%. Qatar gained 0.2% and Bahrain's scale added 0.3%. Bahrain, location to the U.S. Central Command, issued a "work from location mandate" connected Sunday, urging citizens to "only usage main roads erstwhile indispensable to support nationalist safety."

Egypt's benchmark EGX30 was the large gainer successful the region, closing 2.7% higher connected Sunday.

"The Gulf has distanced itself and has been calling for appeasement, supporting a peaceful resolution, and has gone arsenic acold arsenic condemning Israeli aggression," Fadi Arbid, founding spouse and CIO of Amwal Capital Partners, told CNBC. He explained that specified rhetoric "has helped the Gulf isolate itself from conflict" and immoderate important short-term marketplace impact, adding that the nett mid-term is positive.

"The marketplace mightiness beryllium priced successful connected removing a large overhang, which is the Iranian threat," Arbid said, which "at slightest the planetary capitalist would look astatine positively" erstwhile the contented of Iran is removed.

Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar person each released statements successful the past 24 hours, the UAE urged an contiguous halt to escalation to "avoid superior repercussions" successful the region, portion Saudi Arabia expressed concern and Qatar said it "deplored deterioration" successful the struggle betwixt Israel and Iran.

Strait of Hormuz Disruption

Investors volition beryllium watching for swings successful the oil market erstwhile it opens aboriginal this evening, and whether Iran intends to artifact the Strait of Hormuz, a important waterway done which a 4th of the world's lipid proviso passes. 

Tanker Trackers, a website that tracks planetary lipid shipments, said that arsenic of 3:40 p.m. UAE clip connected Sunday, "tanker postulation is inactive moving successful some directions wrong the Strait of Hormuz," citing AIS data.

"Oil prices are apt to unfastened higher, further expanding the geopolitical hazard premium," Giovanni Staunovo, a commodity expert astatine UBS told CNBC connected Sunday, adding that lipid volition support a "risk premium for now," and prices volition stay volatile successful the adjacent word arsenic it is "unclear however the struggle mightiness evolve."

Prices fell 2% connected Friday, earlier U.S. President Donald Trump moved to participate the warfare betwixt Israel and Iran. Brent futures person jumped 11% since Israel's onslaught connected Iran little than 2 weeks ago, and some Brent and U.S. crude lipid person remained volatile since. Prices are expected to emergence connected Monday pursuing Washington's onslaught connected Iran's atomic facilities.

"Oil markets are apt to instrumentality the U.S. attacks arsenic a important escalation of the warfare and terms successful elevated information of proviso risks." Edward Bell, acting main economist astatine Emirates NDB, told CNBC. He added that markets stay bound by headlines, not fundamentals and said to expect "big swings" successful the coming days.

"While determination remains nary interruption to flows of lipid coming retired of the Gulf and lipid infrastructure has not travel nether nonstop attack, markets volition inactive apt terms successful an elevated geopolitical premium," Bell said.

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