CNBC Daily Open: Investors bet the fragile ceasefire would hold

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US President Donald Trump speaks to reporters astir the Israel-Iran conflict, aboard Air Force One connected June 24, 2025, portion traveling to be the NATO's Heads of State and Government acme successful The Hague successful the Netherlands.

Brendan Smialowski | Afp | Getty Images

The ceasefire betwixt Israel and Iran appears to beryllium holding. In yesterday's newsletter, we talked astir however a blitzkrieg of missile-led diplomacy seemed to assistance de-escalate tensions.

The flipside of that unusual way to a truce is that missiles, well, are fundamentally weapons. Mere hours aft some countries agreed to the ceasefire, Israel said its longtime rival had fired missiles into its borders — an accusation which Tehran denied — and was preparing to "respond forcefully." Probably with much missiles.

U.S. President Donald Trump — who reportedly brokered the ceasefire with Qatar's Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani — expressed vexation with those developments.

"I'm not blessed with them. I'm not blessed with Iran either but I'm truly unhappy if Israel is going retired this morning," Trump told a newsman excavation en way to the NATO acme successful the Netherlands.

His admonishments seemed to work. There is present a fragile armistice betwixt the 2 countries.

Oil prices fell and U.S. stocks jumped.

Reuters uploaded a photograph of Israeli residents playing frisbee astatine the beach connected June 24. Flights astatine Israel's Ben Gurion Airport are resuming, and Iran's airspace is partially open, according to formation monitoring steadfast FlightRadar24, CNBC reported astatine astir 3 a.m. Singapore time.

Three hours aft that update, NBC News, citing 3 radical acquainted with the matter, reported that an archetypal appraisal from the U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency recovered the American strikes connected Iran's atomic sites connected Saturday left "core pieces … inactive intact."

And truthful it goes.

What you request to cognize today

Israel-Iran ceasefire holds, for now
The fragile ceasefire betwixt Israel and Iran, announced by Trump connected Monday, appears to beryllium holding. Israel connected Tuesday said it would grant the ceasefire truthful agelong arsenic Iran does the same. Earlier successful the day, some countries accused each different of violating the truce, and said they were acceptable to retaliate, prompting Trump to accidental he's "not happy" with them. Stay updated connected the Israel-Iran struggle with CNBC's unrecorded blog here.

Markets leap arsenic traders stake connected truce
U.S. stocks jumped Tuesday connected expectations that the Israel-Iran ceasefire would hold. The S&P 500 gained 1.11% to enactment it just 0.9% distant from its 52-week high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 1.19% and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.43%. The Nasdaq-100 roseate 1.53% to adjacent astatine an all-time high. Europe's Stoxx 600 roseate 1.11%. Travel stocks were immoderate of the champion performers, portion lipid and state stocks fell the most.

Oil prices slump for a 2nd day
Oil prices tumbled Tuesday, its 2nd time of declines, arsenic the marketplace bet that the hazard of a large proviso disruption had faded. U.S. crude oil settled down 6% astatine $64.37 a tube portion the planetary benchmark Brent fell 6.1%, to $67.14 during U.S. trading. Prices closed 7% little connected Monday. Earlier Tuesday, Trump said China tin support buying lipid from Iran, successful what seemed similar a motion that the U.S. whitethorn soften its unit run against Tehran.

Powell says Fed is 'well positioned to wait'
At a U.S. legislature proceeding Tuesday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the system was inactive strong. But helium noted that ostentation is inactive supra the cardinal bank's people of 2%, and the Fed has an "obligation" to forestall tariffs from becoming "an ongoing ostentation problem." In combination, those considerationsmake the Fed "well positioned to wait" earlier making a determination connected involvement rates.

U.S. is committed to NATO: Secretary-General
There is "total commitment by the U.S. president and the U.S. elder enactment to NATO," the subject alliance's Secretary-General Mark Rutte said Tuesday morning, arsenic the acme kicked disconnected successful The Hague, Netherlands. But America expects Europe and Canada to walk arsenic overmuch arsenic the U.S. does connected defense. Ahead of the summit, members agreed to increase defence spending to 5% of gross home merchandise by 2035.

[PRO] Not 'bullish enough' connected rally: HSBC
The S&P 500′s rally disconnected its April lows has brought it backmost to astir 1% disconnected its grounds precocious successful a precise abbreviated time. It's an beforehand that has perplexed galore investors, who interest that different pullback is connected the horizon. But Max Kettner, main multi-asset strategist astatine HSBC, said helium worries he's not "bullish enough" connected the existent rally.

And finally...

Pictures from the semi-official Tasnim quality bureau amusement the Stena Impero being seized and detained betwixt July 19 and July 21, 2019 adjacent strait of Hormuz, Iran.

Contributor | Getty Images News | Getty Images

Strait of Hormuz GPS jamming remains large information issue, tanker CEO says

Despite a tentative ceasefire betwixt Israel and Iran on Tuesday, information issues successful the Strait of Hormuz proceed for shipowners.

According to Angeliki Frangou, a fourth-generation shipowner and president and CEO of Greece-based Navios Maritime Partners, which owns and operates adust cargo ships and tankers, vessels successful the Strait of Hormuz are inactive being threatened by continuous GPS awesome blocking.

"We person had astir 20% little transition of vessels done the Strait of Hormuz, and vessels are waiting outside," Frangou told CNBC.

"You are proceeding a batch from the liner [ocean shipping] companies that they are transiting lone during daytime due to the fact that of the jamming of GPS signals of vessels. They don't privation to walk during the nighttime due to the fact that they find it dangerous. So it's a precise fluid situation," Frangou said.

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