CNBC Daily Open: Have Trump's strikes on Iran bolstered or eroded his credibility?

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U.S. and Israeli flags projected connected the historical walls of the Old City adjacent Hebron Gate successful Jerusalem, Israel, connected June 22, 2025.

Gazi Samad | Anadolu | Getty Images

United States connected Saturday conducted aerial strikes connected 3 of Iran's atomic sites, entering Israel's warfare against Tehran. The timing was unexpected. On Thursday, U.S. President Donald Trump said helium was inactive considering U.S. engagement and would get astatine a determination "within the adjacent 2 weeks."

Financial and governmental analysts had mostly taken that operation arsenic codification connection for inaction.

"There is besides skepticism that the 'two-week' timetable is simply a excessively acquainted saying utilized by the President to hold making immoderate large decision," wrote Jay Woods, main planetary strategist astatine Freedom Capital Markets.

Indeed, Trump has commonly neglected to travel up aft giving a "two week" timeframe connected large actions, according to NBC News.

And who tin hide the TACO trade? It's an acronym that stands for "Trump Always Chickens Out" — which describes a signifier of the U.S. president threatening dense tariffs, weighing down markets, but pausing oregon reducing their severity aboriginal on, helping stocks to rebound.

"Trump has to hide the TACO earlier the TACO buries him ... he's been forced to basal down connected galore occasion, and that has outgo him a batch of credibility," said David WOO, CEO of David Woo Unbound.

And truthful Trump followed up connected his threat, and up of the projected two-week timeline.

"There volition beryllium either peace, oregon determination volition beryllium calamity for Iran acold greater than we person witnessed implicit the past 8 days," Trump said connected Saturday evening.

But fixed Trump's disapproval of U.S. getting progressive successful wars nether different presidents, does America bombing Iran adhd to his credibility, oregon erode it further?

What you request to cognize today

The U.S. strikes Iran
U.S. President Donald Trump on Saturday said the United States had attacked Iranian nuclear sites, pushing America into Israel's warfare with its longtime rival. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth said Sunday that "Iran's atomic ambitions person been obliterated." The determination to onslaught Iran engages the American subject successful progressive warfare successful the Middle East — something Trump had vowed to avoid.

Iran calls attacks 'outrageous'
Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi connected Sunday said Tehran reserves each options to support its sovereignty and radical aft the "outrageous" U.S. attacks on 3 of its large nuclear enrichment facilities. Iranian state-owned media, meanwhile, reported that Iran's parliament backed closing the Strait of Hormuz, citing a elder lawmaker. The U.S. connected Sunday called connected China to forestall Iran from doing so.

Stock futures successful U.S. retreat
U.S. futures slid Sunday evening stateside arsenic investors reacted to Washington's strikes connected Iran. On Friday, U.S. markets mostly fell. The S&P 500 mislaid 0.22%, its 3rd consecutive losing session, portion the Nasdaq Composite retreated 0.51%. But the Dow Jones Industrial Average eked retired a 0.08% gain. The pan-European Stoxx 600 scale ticked up 0.13%, but ended the week 1.5% lower.

Oil jumps but bitcoin slumps
Oil prices jumped Sunday evening successful the U.S., its archetypal trading league aft Saturday's strikes. U.S. crude oil roseate $1.76, oregon 2.38%, to $75.60 per barrel, portion planetary benchmark Brent was up $1.80, oregon 2.34%, to $78.81 per barrel. Meanwhile, bitcoin prices concisely dipped beneath the $99,000 mark Sunday, its lowest level successful much than a month, earlier paring losses. It's present trading astir $100,940, down 1.5%.

[PRO] Eyes connected ostentation speechmaking
Where markets spell this week volition beryllium connected whether the struggle successful the Middle East escalates aft the U.S.' involvement. Investors should besides support an oculus connected economical data. May's idiosyncratic consumptions expenditure terms index, the Federal Reserve's preferred gauge of inflation, comes retired Friday, and volition archer if tariffs are starting to vigor up inflation.

And finally...

Iranian flags alert arsenic occurrence and fume from an Israeli onslaught connected Sharan Oil depot rise, pursuing Israeli strikes connected Iran, successful Tehran, Iran, June 15, 2025.

Majid Asgaripour | Via Reuters

How authorities alteration successful Iran could impact planetary lipid prices

Senior Israeli officials said this week that their subject run against Iran could trigger the autumn of the regime, an lawsuit that would person tremendous implications for the planetary lipid market.

There are nary signs that the authorities successful Iran is connected the verge of collapse, said Scott Modell, CEO of the consulting steadfast Rapidan Energy Grop.

But further governmental destabilization successful Iran "could pb to importantly higher lipid prices sustained implicit extended periods," said Natasha Kaneva, caput of planetary commodities probe astatine JPMorgan, successful a enactment to clients this week.

There person been 8 cases of authorities alteration successful large oil-producing countries since 1979, according to JPMorgan. Oil prices spiked 76% connected mean astatine their highest successful the aftermath of these changes, earlier pulling backmost to stabilize astatine a terms astir 30% higher compared to pre-crisis levels, according to the bank.

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